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Directors Career Arc

So I'm at the point as a director where my movies are starting to suck less and less, and become more and more watchable, starting to win in festivals, etc. Anyway, I'm at the point in my 'career' in which every movie improves exponentially on the last. However, I know that at some point this trend is going to stop. I'm going to reach my peak, maybe plateu for a bit, and stop improving. My question is, what do you think are some catalysts for changes in directors career, (i.e. why does director X's movies decline in quality etc.) Also, can you describe some career patterns of Directors. For example, 1. M. Night Shyamalan seems to have an extreme real right tailed career so far, with his first movie being a dud, Sixth Sense being a near masterpiece, and the rest of his movies being average at best. 2. Steven Spielberg seems to have a symetrical and very impressive plateu during his prime, from around 1975 to 1982 (Jaws, Close Encounters, Raiders of the Lost Ark, E.T.). 3. Francis Ford Coppola, like Shyamalan, also has very extreme highs and lows with possibly the highest plateu period of any director from 1972 to 1979 (Godfather Parts I and II and Apoc. Now) My final question is, where do you think you all are on you career chart, and where do you think other big directors are headed. I'd have to say Shyamalan will continue to plummet, Spielberg will continue to put out solid, yet not GREAT movies for years to come, and Coppola will all but fall off the map.

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So I'm at the point as a director where my movies are starting to suck less and less, and become more and more watchable, starting to win in festivals, etc.
Very cool! What festivals has your film been in and won?

Oh, really nothing impressive. Just some local and school sponsored stuff, my movies still pretty much suck, but they suck less then the one before it. I've only won some local County movie contests, and have been in the Coatesville and West Chester film fests (both smaller and as a student entry).

Don't sell yourself short. It was impressive enough to win at one level. Why not enter more contests and see what yours can do? You never know.

Yeah, I'm ready to keep making movies and hopefully more awards will follow, (I just need to start submitting to more festivals!) Anyway, I'm just curious what you guys think about the career arc of some directors. Are there any directors that you follow that you think are on the rise? On the decline? At their prime? Are there reasons for changes in quality in a director's movies?